Scenario Development

Can the Future Be Influenced?

The desire to look into the future is as old as the story of the intelligent human being. Not only mysticism is formed by it. Prognosis is also part of many scientific sectors and a firmly entrenched element in theories, theses, and scenarios. Of course, the future is principally unpredictable. Nevertheless, one can make plausible assumptions about the development of influencing factors in the future (Geschka 1992). Scenario projections are systematically generated based on in-depth analysis of the current situation. The resulting syntheses describe one or more possible and justifiable future situation.